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Oil dives below $50

Oil plunged below $50 a barrel today, deepening losses over the previous four sessions as battered financial markets reflected ever lower confidence in the world economy and evidence mounted of falling fuel demand.

US crude fell $3.71, to $49.91 a barrel by 3.02 p.m. (Malta time), the weakest level since January 2007.

London Brent crude shed $3.10 to $48.62 a barrel.

As economic slowdown has destroyed fuel demand, oil companies plan to store millions of barrels of oil in the hope economics will improve.

Shipping brokers said US oil trader Koch and Royal Dutch Shell had booked supertankers capable of storing 10 million barrels of crude, more than top exporter Saudi Arabia produces in a day.

Oil has lost about two-thirds of its value since July's record above $147, in part because a global credit crunch has made investors pull their money out of riskier assets.

The falls on oil have mirrored weakness on equity markets, which dropped again today when European stocks hit their lowest level since March 2003.

"Weakness in stocks reflects weakness in the economy at the moment looking forward, but I think the general trend in oil is lower anyway," said Sucden's head of research Michael Davies.

"It's a bit of a chicken or egg thing. Everything's moving together, it's hard to say what's leading."

Oil differs from other commodity markets in that producer group the Organisation of the Petroleum exporting Countries can intervene to curb supplies, in theory providing support for prices.

Since early September, OPEC has said it will remove around 2 million barrels per day from international markets, but the market has taken the view falling demand is a bigger factor than tightening supply.

Deutsche Bank said yesterday oil could fall to as low as $40 a barrel next year.

Fears about their falling revenues have prompted some members of OPEC to urge further cuts as soon as possible and ministers are to gather for informal talks on November 29 in Cairo.

They will also meet again for a formal session on December 17 in Algeria.

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Comments

Alex Ellul (on 21/11/08)
@Alexander Morana: Yes, OPEC will go bust, not tomorrow, but it will
Alex Ellul (on 20/11/08)
@IM DINGLI: May I seriously suggest that you contact a supplier/installer of PV systems. There are various. They know exactly what you are entitled to and the best solution for your situation. I did and got an offer. My opinion is that the Gov has made an offer that satisfies perfectly investing in a one kilowatt power PV system, giving you around 1600-1800 KWhrs a year, and with the rebate, the system will pay for itself in 10 years time with the price of electricity as it is. PV systems have a life of 25 years guaranteed, but they last much longer, like 40, 50 years since they are made of glass. Also a solar water heater is even more economical, with a payback of 1 to 2 years.

Also do not wait for the 4 energy savers, Fix these when they arrive, but go out and buy some NOW and install them in those rooms that you use most, kitchen living room, .... That is 80% of your lighting consumption. hjence at 1/5th consumption you will be saving 60% plus of your lighting costs.

Any more help? just ask..
Alex Ellul (on 20/11/08)
@I Abela: You buy and sell oil from behind your keyboard. I am serious and no tongue in chee, I have a real question for you which I trust you are able to answer: .Do you know what is the average cost of pumping and delivering a barrel of crude oil, counting all expenses from seismic to tests to drilling and pumping it to tankers? I just want to know what is the present profit margin for the producers.
Alexander Morana (on 20/11/08)
OPEC go bust? Oil below $50, for how long? Re the hijack of the Saudi oil Tanker? Who helped the pirates and why? Let's have some more of these Tankers directed to a Somialian port and we'll see how long the price of oil will remain $50???

Oh by the way the Midddle East geo-politics are still there. Nothing has changed. Let's see what the new US administration will do?
Let's keep on hoping. Thank God I sold before September.... If any of you have any oil and gas stocks hold on don't sell now.
lgalea (on 20/11/08)
Joseph Cilia
It did not because yesterday there was a write up in The Times where it was stated that EneMalta only buys oil month by month, so what the Gonzipn has been telling the people is a lot lies.
I Abela (on 20/11/08)
@ Karl Abela - Why do you always have to make a fool of yourself in every comment you submit? Terrorist attacks? Arabs in control? Are you being serious? Do you have the slightest idea what Oil Trading is all about? Do you know that I buy and sell oil from behind my keyboard? Oil producing countries are perhaps the only people in this world who have NO control on the products they are selling. Everybody has a share of control except Oil producing countries (They do try sometimes, like cutting output, but usually it backfires). Now may I suggest that before making ANY comment, get your facts straight first, or simply abstain.
Duncan Sant (on 20/11/08)
A week ago, I had commented about the oil being "slightly above $55 a barrel"....and some bloke had said that in a weeks' time I wouldn't say that anymore....to which I ironically replied "yes you are right....I'll probabbly say just above $50 a barrel"
Well, it turns out that I was wrong as I should have said "BELOW $50 a barrel"
I M Dingli (on 20/11/08)
@ Karl Abela

You are right in your comments but please note that since our last budget I have been trying to contact various Government Departments to get more information on the photovoltaic, double glazing incentives to no avail. Whoever I speak to points me to another department so I just lost faith in this proposal altogether especially since it was capped to a few hundreds.

If you have any information please share it with us.
P Debono (on 20/11/08)
The truth is that the government made a major gaffe in hedging its requirements for a whole year. Nowhere in the world is this done, and hence the reason why electricity bills abroad are actually FALLING as opposed to INCREASING like in Malta.

Ara vera pajjiz tal-Mickey Mouse!!!!
I Alamango (on 20/11/08)
I am really interested in buying some oil at this price. Anybody can rent me a reservior for a cheap price? I will certainly have a better return on this investment when prices go up :)

I can definately make more money like this instead of putting money in banks and getting peanuts!
charles zammit (on 20/11/08)
do you hear what i hear ,,,,,,,,,crude going down to less than 50 dollars a barrel .....but still we will be getting exorbitant bills.
Martin Büttner (on 20/11/08)
Today in Malta petrol is 18 per cent more expensive than in Germany.
M.Buhagiar (on 20/11/08)
E.Gatt

Really and truly you must admit that your PM be it 1 , 2 or 3 has failed YOU and ME and EVERYONE miserably !!

I kindly invite you to read Austin Sammut`s article on the Times this week who is surely not known to be a labourite and after feel free to comment
Alex Ellul (on 20/11/08)
To all again: Have a look at http://www.earthpolicy.org/Updates/2008/Update77.htm and see what I mean.

The future is NO NEED FOR OIL, NO OPEC
A. Saliba (on 20/11/08)
@A Mangion

You must be confusing me with somebody else. I did not attend the "manifestazzjoni."
martin salba (on 20/11/08)
I seriously suggest that Enemalta investigate for meter tamppering those who are defending the rise in tariffs.
Thomas Kristaleiien (on 20/11/08)
After having lived in Malta for 31 years, I returned to Finland two weeks ago. Still I follow life and politics in Malta. Seeing the actual debate makes me really cry.
The Maltese democracy has failed on this subject. The government seems to be incompetent. They hold back information, transparency is nowehere, and the reasoing is not logic.
The opposition makes nice speeches, but don't act. A 1 seat majority can easily be turned into a 1 seat minority in a real democracy. There are no efforts to do so in Malta.
kevin xuereb (on 20/11/08)
@Mr Cassar................can you please forward me ur billing address so that when I receive my overpriced bill for W&E consumption I will forward it to you. Please stop giving excuses and fanatic reasons for the incompetence of the CURRENT administration. The decisions taken by certain ministers are a disgrace for this country. Only in Malta is happening, not like other countries where the governments are trying to boost confidence in the economies by injecting cash by tax cuts and lowering interests rates. We dont need fanatics like you.
Martin Büttner (on 20/11/08)
The fall of the oil price is a direct result of the international financial crisis.
The speculators just don't have any money left to play with it on the oil market.
Now we see the real price of oil. The high prices in the past were just a result of gambling by a few traders on the worldwide financial markets.
Martin Büttner (on 20/11/08)
As a result to the falling oil price, prices for petrol and diesel also fall all over the world, except for Malta.
For example, in 1996 petrol in Malta was about 30 per cent cheaper than in Germany.
Today in Malta it is 18 per cent more expensive than in Malta.

During the past years the Maltese benfitted from their governments' policy on the purchasing of oil.
But now they have to pay the price for it.
E Gatt (on 20/11/08)

Lawrence Gonzi is Malta’s only prime-minister. But if the Socialists insist that Lawrence Gonzi is Prime-minister 1, Austin Gatt is prime-minister 2 and Tonio Fenech is prime-minister3, then logically Dr Muscat is prime-minister0.

On a serious note, the falling price of oil is not all good news. Readers might find this article interesting: http://money.uk.msn.com/investing/articles/nicklouth/article.aspx?cp-documentid=11064352
N Xuereb (on 20/11/08)
Simple... when you get the next bill, just send it to Austin Gatt
A Mangion (on 20/11/08)
@ A. Saliba

Since you are the one of those who did stand by Muscat on the stand during the manifestation, you should also be aware that during his reply to the budget speech, Dr Muscat told the Government to buy oil on that day….when price was 65 dollars…..so what’s your answer now? How much would we have paid extra as a country should we have listened to Dr Muscat? Did he give the same advice to Iceland too?
Karl Abela (on 20/11/08)
As far as I am concerned this has been a terrorist attack in disguise. The Arabs have shown us who really is in control of this world without even using weapons....the oil producing arabs have strangled the world by exagerating the price of oil beyond any reason whilst they were reaping huge benefits...as if they werent rich enough. Luckily it is now back firing in their direction because oil has lost value. BUT....

....THIS SHOULD TEACH US A LESSON. We should all reduce our dependancy on oil to cover ourselves from another huge increase in oil prices. We should start taking the government subsidy schemes on solar heaters, energy saving light bulbs, photovoltaic panels, wind turbines, AAA appliances, smaller cars, etc etc. THIS is the message of the government in the last budget....do not let yourselves be mislead by other people with other motives because they will not be paying your bills.


maria falzon (on 20/11/08)
do you want to pay my bill Mr. Joseph Cassar? The only positive thing in all this global mess is the reduction in oil prices, and we don't even get to benefit from that. any more nice suggestions Mr. Cassar?
Alex Ellul (on 20/11/08)
@J. Micallef: Agreed. I have been predicting an oil slump for months now. It should go down even further. The result of the oil price hikes ($160 a barrel) and the threat of $200 was a high increase in decisions to go for renewables. Besides the global credit crunch which is effecting consumption badly, economic sense now tells us to reduce our consumption while going for alternative sources of energy and in particular ways of generating electricity. Have a look at http://www.earthpolicy.org/Updates/2008/Update77.htm and see what I mean. Presently alternative/renewable energy systems are competing with oil and coal, but soon it will be the other way round. Opec had already done this before during the early '70s and it backfired. This time it will be too late to relearn that lesson because alternatives are here to stay, increase and multiply.
One more comment: OPEC should be declared an illegal entity by the international community for acting as a cartel.
M.Busuttil (on 20/11/08)
Can't we buy now in bulk then just divide the tariffs between the cost of before and now. Simple Mathematics .........ehhh bilhaqq Hon. Tonio Fenech last time said we don't have space to buy more hahahahhaa what a bunch of lies :)
joseph cassar (on 20/11/08)
it seems that everybody has become an expert on oil and oil purchasing techniques. I am sure that Enemalta is more professional and will take the opportunity to buy oil at cheaper prices. Time will prove the government right as has always been in the last years. Dr. Muscat should have advised Dr. Sant 10 years ago about the utility tariffs not now.
Joseph Cilia (on 20/11/08)
If its true that the Government has a hedging agreement till the end of the year, the price fluctuations are irrelevant to the government. Since if the price goes down all it would mean is that any savings from lower price of oil, would go to compensate for the greater loss of the hedging agreement. We all know that such agreements have their pros and cons.

So it basically means that until the current agreement terminates, no mater what the price of oil would be, we'll still have to pay the same price. Similarly, it also means that the gov is not making any more profit either.

What I would however expect is that the gov is transparent and makes public the exact status.
Maria Dolores Fenech (on 20/11/08)
95% Surcharge on W&E bills when oil price is below $50. Even this is high let alone the new tariffs!
g.c.Forte (on 20/11/08)
Can any body go and tell any Prim Minister ( Dr. Gonzi, Dr. Gatt or Mr. Fenech) this great news so one of them go and buy some, and then will solve the problem of the tariffs. How can be justify that the oil is coming down and our government put it sky high. Buying it with high price with bulk buying is not to swallow, Dr. Muscat came up with a good proposal, that is buy again now with bulk and then work it half and half, so you ease the problem of the tariffs.Still the government will have money to cut off the deficit that Enemalta have, and then it can be privatized, because that is the real problem.
Schembri Ray (on 20/11/08)
When our oil products materials are going to be lower dear Minister?
Denis Camilleri (on 20/11/08)
Ohhhh Santa Came early for the goverment more profit now for the goverment and less for use
A. Saliba (on 20/11/08)
if I recall correctly the Minister had said that the electricity tariffs would be revised every six month OR whenever the price of oil fluctuated by more than 15%. Well, since the introduction of the new tariff system the price of oil has gone down by more than 15%...
J Micallef (on 20/11/08)
Yessssssssssssssss!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I hope the OPEC countries go bust as well!

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